What to Know for Knicks vs. Pacers Game 4: Odds, Trends, and Key Players
Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers isn’t just another playoff contest—it's shaping up to be a tense, back-and-forth affair that has both fans and bettors leaning forward. Indiana snatched the edge in the series with a wild 20-point comeback during Game 3 and now sits with a 2-1 lead. The Knicks, however, have home-court advantage for this matchup, hosting the Pacers in the always volatile Madison Square Garden atmosphere.
All eyes are on Jalen Brunson, who’s been the lifeblood of New York’s playoff run, dropping an impressive 28.8 points on average per game. His brief exit in Game 3 due to injury gave Knicks fans a scare, but all signs point to him suiting up again for this tilt. On the other side, the Pacers aren’t backing down. Tyrese Haliburton has been manufacturing offense with nearly 23 projected points a game, while Myles Turner chips in both scoring and rim protection.
Betting Lines, Trends, and Why Everybody Is Watching the Spread
If you’re into the numbers, here’s where things get spicy. Oddsmakers first put the Knicks as 5-point favorites at home, acknowledging their usual dominance at the Garden after a loss. But that number didn’t last. As the bets rolled in on Indiana, the line slid down to -4.5. Sixty-two percent of bettors, to be exact, are taking the Pacers with the points, sniffing out value based on how tight these games have been. The moneyline paints the Knicks as obvious favorites at -205, with Indiana underdogs at +170—a tempting payout if you think Indiana can keep things close or even win outright.
Bets aren’t just on who wins. People are also looking hard at the total score. It opened at 223.5 but has inched down to 222.5. Despite the tweak, nearly 70% of bets are on the Over, likely because both teams have shown they can light it up offensively when things get rolling.
Let’s break down some of the trends that matter. The Knicks have been nothing short of reliable in this spot: 27-10 straight up and 22-15 against the spread at home after a loss—and that’s across the whole season. Step into the playoffs, and they’re 5-1 in the same scenario. So, there’s real money backing the idea that Tom Thibodeau’s group bounces back strong when they stumble.
But here’s where it gets interesting. Indiana isn’t just covering—they’ve been doing it against good teams. They’re 5-1 against the spread over their last six and 6-3 ATS versus the Knicks in their last nine. Recent history says this Pacers team shows up and stays in the fight, even when the odds-makers lean the other way.
So, why are experts suggesting the Pacers +5? It’s not a knock on New York’s usual home power; it’s about Indiana’s resilience and the nail-biter finishes in this series. The underdog spread feels generous in a matchup where Indiana keeps making it close, and bettors are catching on. If you’re looking for value tonight, the betting odds for Indiana may be less lopsided than they look.
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